Alaska Right to Life is urging Alaskans to vote for Endorsed Pro-Life candidates (Wilson and Bronson) and rank the Republican (Taylor). Here’s why:
If Alaskans elect a Pro-Life Governor, they get more opportunities to protect children in the womb and the future of Alaska’s families.
By voting for, ranking and ultimately electing a Pro-Life Endorsed Governor (Wilson or Bronson) you have a commitment to protect children in the womb baked into a Wilson or Bronson administration.
Here’s how we do it in a nutshell:
When Alaskans vote for Endorsed Pro-Life candidates, they’re more likely rank all three Republican candidates, and they’re less likely to rank JKT at all.
Even if your preferred Pro-Life candidate is eliminated in the first two rounds, your vote will transfer to either the other Pro-Life candidate or Republican Treg Taylor.
Voting for Bernadette Wilson, then ranking Dave Bronson followed by Treg Taylor as seen in the ballot example here, maximizes the likelihood that a Pro-Life candidate makes it to the final round of counting, with the best chance of defeating JKT.
This is a superior approach to voting than the Republican Party’s Rank the Red because it focuses votes for a very specific purpose that is lacking in Rank the Red: protecting innocent people from conception and through every stage of development.
Additionally, voting for, and ranking Pro-Life candidates unifies voters and candidates in a way that Rank the Red does not: Pro-Life voters are found in the Republican Party (24% of Alaskan voters), the Nonpartisans (14% of voters), and Undeclared (50%) voters.
In other words, any voter that cares about babies, children, and families, but has been disenfranchised by the Republican Party has a reason to:
You can vote Pro-Life without voting with a party that you’re either indifferent to or have already decided to not be a part of.
Together, Republicans, Nonpartisans, and Undeclared voters can easily defeat JKT and elect a Pro-Life governor – if they go vote, rank the Pro-Life Endorsed candidates, followed by Republican Treg Taylor.
In contrast, the Rank the Red strategy is projected to deliver JKT a 10,000(+) vote victory on November 3rd.
The Pro-Life vote strategy gains strength and momentum if the rest of the Pro-Life movement joins Alaska Right to Life in placing voting Pro-Life at the heart and soul of the gubernatorial election.
As Planned Parenthood’s endorsed candidate, JKT supports abortion from conception to birth – and you’re going to pay for every abortion in Alaska. JKT will likely sign any abortion expansion bill while blocking every attempt to protect children in the womb. He is also a committed homosexual and transgender advocate, having sponsored SOGI (sexual orientation, gender identity) legislation. A JKT administration likely means Alaskan children are defenseless against SOGI activists that will expand homosexual and transgender grooming in schools, sports, and locker rooms.
JKT’s fiscal policies are equally destructive: a massive public pension program, increased Medicaid spending – Alaska’s Medicaid program is already the 6th most expensive in the nation, and it costs twice what it did a decade ago. JKT would fund his spending plans with higher oil and gas taxes, increased PFD theft, and an income tax for every Alaskan.
These are not minor disagreements on policy and administrative details. They reflect a radical vision of government’s role in Alaska and the principles that should guide public policy.
Because God has stamped His image on every man, woman, and child, government is obligated by Him to protect every person from conception onward, regardless of the circumstances of conception, expected quality or length of life, or diagnosis of health or disease. That truth is inseparable from the principles of human dignity, marriage, family, liberty, and justice.
Government was instituted among men to protect these principles—to protect the innocent, reward good, and to punish the wicked. Redefining these principles to accommodate corrupted passions and desires violates the very purpose of government.
Now consider what the concerns above—and your own concerns about JKT—could mean for Alaska well into the 2040s.
Alaska’s next governor will appoint two members of the five-member Alaska Redistricting Board in 2030. The Legislature’s presiding officers and the Chief Justice of the Alaska Supreme Court each appoint one member to the Board. If elected, JKT’s two members together with the Chief Justice’s appointee, could form a three-member majority that shapes the legislative boundaries for five or more elections throughout the 2030s. The likelihood of Democratic Party influence over that process makes this gubernatorial election consequential far beyond a single administration.
But recognizing a common opponent in JKT does not automatically produce a common electoral strategy.
This is not a controversial statement: Alaska’s Republican Party (ARP) is divided. Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor all have different constituencies, political relationships, loyalties, and levels of support.
That is the weakness in treating “Rank the Red” as a comprehensive strategy. Worse, a divided party is calling for Republican, Undeclared, and Nonpartisan voters to unite behind Republican candidates without addressing the divisions within its own ranks.
The slogan — who knows what strategy may be behind it, if any — encourages Republican, Undeclared, and Nonpartisan voters to rank Republican candidates… “one, two, three, or you’ll get JKT.”
For many, that’s a tall order when you consider that only 24% of registered voters are Republicans.
For Rank the Red to be successful, independent voters must act like Republicans – but the data says they will not.
Look back at the 2026 Primary:
Independents’ votes in the 2026 primary (estimated)
| Candidates | Independent votes | % of independents who voted |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic (JKT, Tom Begich) | 43,160 | 46.9% |
| Republican (Wilson, Bronson, Taylor and others) | ~24,000 | 26.1% |
| Independent and other (Bishop, Walker, DeWitt, Payne) left leaning candidates | ~21,000 | 22.8% |
| Skipped the race or overvoted | ~3,900 | 4.2% |
| Total independents who voted | 92,021 | 100% |
Independents in Alaska are Nonpartisan, Undeclared and minor-party voters. The Democratic figure assumes every Democrat who voted chose JKT or Begich. The Republican figure assumes about 95% of Republicans voted for a Republican candidate. Sources: Alaska Division of Elections official results; public voter file, Oct. 7, 2026.
I understand that independent voter turnouts and behavior are different in the General Election, but there is no data that supports a nearly full reversal in independent voter behavior.
If we are counting on every Registered Republican to Rank the Red – without any crossovers, how many independent voters do we need to lay down their ‘independence’ and act like committed Republicans?
Additionally, which candidate should get first choice priority?
How do first-choice preferences affect elimination order?
How do transferred votes in rounds two and three ultimately reach the strongest candidates?
How many 2nd and 3rd round votes must reach the leading Republican candidate to defeat JKT?
If JKT does not reach a majority of first-round votes, ranked choice voting (RCV) creates an opportunity for transferred votes to influence the outcome of the election.
Here’s what the numbers suggest: averaging three of the most reliable pollsters, JKT is projected to lead the four candidates in first round with approximately 46.9% of the total vote1.
| Candidate | Round 1 votes | % of votes |
|---|---|---|
| Kreiss-Tomkins | 120,500 | 46.9% |
| Wilson | 68,100 | 26.5% |
| Bronson | 39,300 | 15.3% |
| Taylor | 28,800 | 11.2% |
| Total | 256,700 |
*Author’s estimates based on an average of the three most reliable polls (NYT/Siena, Cygnal, Fabrizio Ward/Impact), with undecided voters split 65% Republican and 35% Democrat. Each candidate's total is rounded to the nearest 100, so the totals add to 256,700, a little under the 257,000 turnout projection.
The question is not whether Republican voters should rank more than one Republican candidate – YES! Vote and rank all three.
The real question is whether a strategy built around supporting a specific candidate offers a better chance of defeating JKT than one that leaves every voter to determine a different order.
Consider what happens when voters simply Rank the Red:
Treg Taylor is projected to finish fourth and to be the first candidate eliminated.
Assuming Taylor’s voters do not change the remaining candidates’ order, Bronson is projected to be eliminated next.
The final round is projected to come down to Bernadette Wilson vs. JKT.
In every reasonable and responsible scenario, Rank the Red delivers the Governor’s office to JKT.
Bronson and Taylor voters can affect the final round outcome in three ways:
The winner needs a majority of the ballots still counting in the final round, not a majority of all ballots originally cast.
In November 2022, 21.5% of Nick Begich voters exhausted – they did not transfer to Sarah Palin, and Mary Peltola ultimately prevailed. The 67% of Begich voters that transferred to Palin is the highest transfer rate on record. However, 11.6% of Begich’s voters crossed over and voted for Peltola.
In contrast Murkowski won the 2022 election in part because Pat Chesbro (D) voters transferred approximately 71% of their votes to Murkowski while only 7.6% crossed over (voted for Tshibaka).
In the 2022 US House Race, the transfers, exhausted ballots, and crossovers would look something like this:
| Rounds 2 & 3 Begich Ballot | Effect on Palin’s margin |
|---|---|
| Transferred to Palin | +1 |
| Exhausted | 0 |
| Crossed over to Peltola | -1 |
For every exhausted ballot – a vote that is not transferred in rounds 2 and 3 – neither Peltola nor Palin increased their total count.
For every crossover vote to Peltola in rounds 2 and 3 (a Begich voter ranked Peltola), Palin needed two transfers: one transfer to catch up, and one transfer to increase her margin.
What we learn from 2022 and 2024 is that:
A key factor in the 2022 ballot exhaustion was friction between the candidates and an apparent lack of clear messaging from the Republican Party and its affiliated/aligned organizations – very similar to the problem we’re facing today.
If we assume similar transfer and exhaustion behavior in next week’s election under a Rank the Red strategy, JKT is projected to win by about 10,200 votes. That projection assumes an decreased crossover rate from 11.6% to 5% because ARP crossover messaging has improved since 2022.
| Next choice | Ballots | % Of Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Rank Wilson | 45,600 | 67% |
| Rank Kreiss-Tomkins (crossover) | 3,400 | 5% |
| Stop counting (exhaust) | 19,100 | 28% |
Under these assumptions, the Rank the Red strategy is projected to deliver the election to JKT in the final round:
| Candidate | Round 1 | Added from Bronson/Taylor | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kreiss-Tomkins | 120,500 | 3,400 | 123,900 |
| Wilson | 68,100 | 45,600 | 113,700 |
Under the 5% crossover assumption, defeating JKT requires approximately 82% of Bronson and Taylor voters to ultimately transfer to Wilson – well above the 67% transfer rate we saw among Nick Begich voters in 2022. That 67% represents the best – not expected – Republican ranking performance since Ranked Choice Voting was imposed on us.
The point here is not that the three Republican candidates are flawed, but that the slogan turned strategy – Rank the Red – is flawed.
Defeating a single Democratic candidate like JKT requires courage, conviction, and leadership that rallies Republican voters, maximizes second – and third – round transfers to the Republican candidate most likely to prevail, and minimizes Republican crossovers to JKT.
The Alaska Republican Party, its affiliated organizations, and Pro-Life/Family organizations like Alaska Family Council and Pro-Life Alaska should never have adopted such a flawed strategy.
And even at this late hour, it is not too late for the Pro-Life/Family organizations to change abandon Rank the Red, and show Republican and independent voters there’s a better reason to vote, rank, and defeat JKT: Pro-Life Endorsed candidates have committed to protecting children from conception through every stage of development to the extent that the law allows.
But failures of political leadership do not diminish the seriousness of the choices before us. In the same way, the imperfection of our candidates must not cast shadows of doubt on the principles either they, or we profess to defend.
Instead of measuring the consequences of this election by the worthiness of the candidates, we must measure the consequences of this election by what the candidates promise to do, the people and organizations with whom they align, and how they will exercise their power if elected.
Additionally, we must recognize that the consequences of this election do not end with the next administration.
This election has life and death consequences that will last eternity.
Our children and grandchildren will inherit the decisions we make on November 3rd, including decisions made on behalf of those who cannot yet – and may never be able to speak for themselves.
Remember, our founding fathers did not form congresses, militias, and ultimately fight a bloody war against Great Britain and her military because they hated their British kinsmen. Many of those great men pleaded to live in peace with their neighbors on both sides of the Atlantic. But the King and Parliament multiplied their unjust laws, taxation oppression of the colonies.
It was a much higher cause that motivated them. Freedom from tyranny. Preservation of their way of life. Posterity. Their children, and their neighbors’ children.
John Adams studied “Politicks and War” so that his sons could have the “liberty to study Mathematicks and Philosophy… Geography… Commerce and Agriculture, in order to give their Children a right to study Painting, Poetry, Musick…”
“Politicks and War” in his time so that his posterity could enjoy commerce and leisure: peace.
What we’ve learned in the 250 years since is that politics is actually another form of war. Not a war of planes, tanks, bombs, grenades and rifles. Nor is it a war of enemies, but of opponents.
Politics is a contest to determine who sets policies, who makes the laws and who executes the laws; whose values, morals, principles – or lack thereof will be imposed upon the losers of that contest.
But the casualties of politics are often just as real – those who must suffer under tyrannical and oppressive regimes – and the casualties of the 2026 battle for the governor’s office will be the unborn children that will be lost to abortion and the adolescents that are permanently scarred by puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones under a JKT administration – and for years beyond.
It’s true – JKT administration will likely establish a bankrupting public pension program.
A JKT administration will likely syphon more money out of our PFDs, year after year.
A JKT administration will likely impose an income tax on every Alaskan.
A JKT administration will likely turn the oil and gas tax structure on its head.
And a JKT administration will likely preserve and grow the abortion and gender-modification status quo.
Each of those spending and tax increases will be damaging on their own. Combined, they could drain the Permanent Fund and bankrupt Alaska.
But more importantly, how many children will live in tortured desperation after being subjected to government funded, irreversible puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones that they were never capable of consent to?
How many more generations will be lost when an abortion advocate occupies the governor’s office?
If JKT’s Redistricting Board appointments weaken or eliminate Pro-Life and Republican candidates’ ability to change Alaska’s abortion laws well into the 2040s, how many thousands – tens of thousands – of children will be lost?
The decisions we make on November 3rd will have life and death consequences for countless Alaskans.
Are we unwilling to lay down partisan differences and loyalty to individual candidates today so that we can have a chance to protect children from abortion under a Wilson or Bronson administration?
Are we unwilling to let go of political barbs and bruises so that children can be protected from disfiguring gender-modifying drugs and surgeries under a Bronson or Wilson administration?
If we really are unwilling to face these and other difficult choices today, how could we think those choices will be easier tomorrow?
Every generation must decide which responsibilities it will shoulder, and which burdens it will leave to the generations that follow.
Defeating JKT is a responsibility we must all shoulder today because the cost of leaving the burden of protecting unborn children from abortion to the generations following us is simply too high.
The question today is not whether the candidates before us are all that we hoped they would be, but whether we have properly considered what their leadership in office may mean for those entrusted to our care.
A JKT administration virtually ensures more babies will be killed by abortion in the years to come than in any we’ve seen.
Bernadette Wilson was the first candidate to respond to Alaska Right to Life Action’s endorsement inquiries. And by God’s grace, Bernadette Wilson has committed to act immediately upon taking office.
A Bernadette Wilson administration has committed to exercising every power and authority the Constitution and laws of Alaska allow for the protection and preservation of Alaskans from conception and through every stage of development.
Ranking Bronson and Taylor costs Bernadette Wilson nothing, cannot hurt her at all. Your 2nd and 3rd choices are only used if Wilson is eliminated. Until then, your vote counts fully for Wilson.
If Wilson is out of the race, then ranking Bronson and Taylor keeps your vote working against JKT until it is exhausted.
In a very similar manner, Dave Bronson and Josh Church are sinners saved by grace – again just as you and I are. Dave and Josh earned Alaska Right to Life Action’s endorsement in part because of their years of advocating for the unborn.
Dave Bronson and Josh Church have also committed to immediate action, limited by their Constitutional powers and the laws within which they must operate.
Ranking Wilson and Taylor costs Dave Bronson nothing and cannot hurt him at all. Your 2nd and 3rd choices are only used if Bronson is eliminated. Until then, your vote counts fully for Bronson.
If Bronson is knocked out of the race, then ranking Wilson and Taylor keeps your vote working against JKT until it is fully exhausted.
But what if you’re not prioritizing the Pro-Life Vote?
I respect and admire Treg Taylor. He has made numerous contributions in the fight against abortion, including contributions to the Dobbs opinion that overturned Roe v. Wade.
Last year, when Planned Parenthood and Alaska’s Medicaid flouted the federal law that disqualified Planned Parenthood from Medicaid, Attorney General Taylor enthusiastically took action, initiated coordination within the Dunleavy administration, and handed the project over to acting AG Cox when he stepped down to run for Governor.
If you plan on voting for Treg Taylor, ranking the two Endorsed Pro-Life candidates does three things:
Ranking Bronson and Wilson costs Treg Taylor nothing, cannot hurt him at all. Your 2nd and 3rd choices are only used if Taylor is eliminated. Until then, your vote counts fully for Treg Taylor.
If Taylor is out of the race, then ranking Bronson and Wilson keeps your vote working against JKT until it is fully exhausted.
For Alaskans who prioritize protecting innocent unborn children, the two Alaska Right to Life Endorsed candidates offer distinctly Pro-Life choices:
Option 1: Choose Bernadette Wilson, rank Dave Bronson second, and Treg Taylor third.
And NEVER vote or rank JKT.
Option 2: Choose Dave Bronson, rank Bernadette Wilson second, and Treg Taylor third.
And NEVER vote or rank JKT.
Option 3: Choose Treg Taylor, rank Bernadette Wilson second, and Dave Bronson third.
And NEVER vote or rank JKT.
None of these voting and ranking sequence guarantee victory, but in the absence of unifying leadership, they prioritize Pro-Life candidates and offer a tightly focused approach to defeating JKT.
The fate of generations yet unborn may depend on the courage, conviction, and judgement of those living and voting today. Our children and grandchildren will inherit the consequences of decisions you and I made long before they could speak for themselves.
Neither the imperfections of our candidates nor the uncertainty of victory on Tuesday diminishes that responsibility. We do not measure our convictions on how firmly we profess them when the choice is easy, but whether we remain faithful to them when doing so comes with consequences we would rather not suffer.
Never surrender conscience to convenience. Never mistake disappointment in our candidates for indifference to the people they may be entrusted to protect. And never allow the apparent odds against us to become an excuse for abandoning our principles.
And never forget those who must live with the consequences of our choices.
Paid for by Right to Life Action.
Pat Martin, Chair, approves and certifies that this message is not authorized, paid for, or approved by any candidate. The Alaska Right to Life Committee contributed to this message.
📞 CALL me at (907) 753-6397
📧 EMAIL me at PATMARTIN@ALASKARIGHTTOLIFE.ORG
Tap a topic to see its sources.
Source Notes: Medicaid historical expenditure figures may differ according to federal versus state fiscal years, administrative cost inclusion, and reporting methodology. HB 78 actuarial projections reflect different versions of the legislation and varying economic assumptions. Several original document links were not independently accessible during verification.
Copyright © 2026 · Alaska Right To Life